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EUR / NZD (EURNZD)

MetisEtradePR · 5 · 4242

MetisEtradePR

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Last Monday, a report revealed that German business climate was worse than projected. This is the fourth consecutive month the index has declined. The report revealed that the index on business conditions for the month of August is at 106.3, lower than the expected 107.1.


MetisEtradePR

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In yesterday’s RBNZ rate statement, the central bank decided to keep interest rates at 3.50% as expected. Additionally, the central bank lowered inflation forecasts. The Kiwi is expected to depreciate on this statement given that the currency is unsustainably high considering the decline in commodity prices. However, a rebound is expected against the Euro as the New Zealand economy is performing better than the Euro-zone’s economy. There is still positive long-term outlook in the New Zealand economy. New Zealand is the first developed country to raise interest rates from all-time low at 2.50%. According to RBNZ Governor Wheeler, their economic growth “continues to be supported by increasing construction activity and ongoing strength in consumption and business investment”.


Dogberto

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"Is the Flightless Bird Overvalued?"
http://www.metisetrade.com/research/report_data/Fundamental/52042
Trade was filled on Sept.11, but got stopped out the next day for a 97.2 pip loss.


MetisEtradePR

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New Zealand’s unemployment rate for the fourth quarter of 2014 was reported to have increased to 5.7% from the previous quarter’s 5.4%. Although unemployment in New Zealand increased, the number of employed people increased by 1.2%. The divergence between the positive employment change and negative unemployment rate was mainly due to the increase in labor participation rate. The labor participation rate reached a record 69.7% which means there are more individuals seeking employment. The increased number of labor participation reflects the increased confidence of individuals that they will be able to find jobs.


MetisEtradePR

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Last January, Euro zone’s deflation was reported to have eased to 0.2% year-on-year. The fall in the prices of goods and services was mainly due to the decline in oil prices. The decline in oil prices brought up concerns of a deflationary spiral—a situation wherein spending is deferred in anticipation of further price falls. For the month of February, Germany’s CPI growth was reported to have increased by 0.5% from the previous month. This is slower than the previous month’s 0.9% increase. Spain’s year-on-year deflation was reported to have lessened to 0.7% from the previous month’s 1.1%. Tonight, the CPI data for the whole Euro Zone will be released. Year-on-year deflation is expected to remain at 0.3%.


 


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