It surprised me to read from the Philippine Star earlier today that the Moro Islamic Liberation Front (MILF) issued a statement saying they are convinced President Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo (GMA) will not be ousted and will actually be able to finish her term.
With calls for GMA’s ouster coming from all sides of the Philippine society, a neutral stand from a Muslim separatist rebel group is unexpected.
The news story quoted the views of MILF Secretariat chief Muhammad Ameen which were posted on the MILF website, www.luwaran.com.
Ameen cited six factors why the current oust-Gloria groups are unlikely to succeed in their advocacy. Here are those six reasons.
1. Lack of a credible leader to replace Gloria. Apparently for the MILF, Vice President Noli de Castro is not an option. Ameen describes him as “incompetent” and claimed that Muslims in Mindanao don’t see VP Noli as a “good leader for them.” I wonder how many Filipinos share that sentiment.
2. The people are tired of “people power.” The MILF correctly summed up what most Filipinos currently feel regarding mobs and rallies: they are turned off because they know that “one politician replaced by another politician is like changing one rotten egg with another rotten egg.”
3. GMA still has the support of the military. In the past two EDSA’s, the withdrawal of support from the military ultimately signals the collapse of the administration. This has not happened yet in Gloria’s case.
4. The oust-Gloria movement does not have the backing of the US government. The MILF describes the US support in overthrowing a Philippine President as “critical,” and obviously, this support is still lacking at present.
5. The Catholic Church remains divided on its stand. In addition to military involvement explained in #3, the Catholic Church also plays a major role in the success of any “people power.” This is yet to happen because the Church still has no unanimous stand on Gloria’s ouster.
6. Gloria’s term is expiring in 2 years. The MILF suggests that most Filipinos today are rational and practical in the sense that they prefer Gloria to finish her term in two years rather than to “embark on an ambitious but still unpredictable people power method.”
I personally believe the MILF has the correct analysis on this oust-Gloria issue. I explained my similar views in the Oops, Trillanes did it again article which I posted after Senator Antonio Trillanes IV seized the Manila Peninsula Hotel back in November last year.
You want to oust Gloria? Listen to the MILF and see what you are doing wrong.
6 reasons why Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo won't be ousted
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I realize the same issues too that’s why I focus more on investigating the truth.
she can get away for now by not being ousted in power..BUT I doubt if she can get away after her term as president. She may be tried for corruption charges just like what happened to erap. Another scenario is that she will flee away from the country to escape the corruption charges. Well my 2 cents…
Yeah me too…No way they can do that to GMA and it’s not that easy to replace this administration of hers.
these predictions doesn’t even need a deeper thought and tedious argumentations. even in the eyes of an average observer, the probability of ousting GMA before her term ends is apparently low.
yes we say that we all care. but noone really bothers on both sides.
even how the ousters cry on top of their voices, it’s pointless for a president with her earplugs on, and her lazy ass glued on her beloved seat.
My take is that since most people of tired of doing People Powers’ i believe most people would rather complete the NBN investigation before the do anything. Its just a crappy way of doing politics just because the public perceives that the leadership is corrupt. YOu know what they say “innocent until proven guilty”
cheers!
just wait for the 2010 elections. and next time, vote for the right candidate. tigilan na yang people power na yan.
Antayin nalang natin ang next election, kung mag PP3, cnu papalit? decastro? di pwede yan.
I think those after GMA will have a harder time pinning her for her alleged crimes after her term in 2010. That’s because they will have to pursue it through the legal arenas and not the political circus arena that is now the senate (and congress). In the latter, they can get away with all that allegations even with the lack of hard evidence, and just hope that the people will hit the streets the way they did with Erap. That’s why they’re giving it all they’ve got before her term ends.
sigh. I guess we’ll have more of this sh*t until perhaps 2010!
Ang sarap maging politiko sa Pinas. Makakapandaya ka na, makakapagnakaw ng bilyones at mapapatay ang kaaway mo, marami pang magtatanggol sa ‘yo.
Hintayin na lang natin baguhin nila ang konstitusyon o mag-deklara ng martial law. Saka nlang tayo kumilos after 20 years. Siguro naman matagal na panahon na yan para mamulat ang mga “henyo”.
Kahit mag-people power pa lahat ng Pilipino sa lahat ng bansa, di mapapaalis yan.
Ang mga umaalis ng hindi natapos, yung mga may konting delikadesa at hiya sa sarili (or tsinugi na ng US, hahaha. Newsflash!- Si Erap pala me paggalang pa sa pulso ng tao at sa sarili niya. Who would’ve thought? Surprise, surprise…)
E matigas ang fez ni madder… di nakakahalata.
Kaya matatapos nya ang 2010.
Sa tindi ng kapit nya sa pwesto, magugulat ako kung aalis yan voluntarily pag times up na.
Abangan ang susunod na kabanata…
Pwede po ba magtanong – Paano kung hindi pa din umalis si Mommy G sa 2010, paano kayo magre-reak?
I agree. with all the six reasons stated. I think that everything that has been happening and done in the streets will all be put into waste. And as time goes by, the heat will subside just like the other controversies in the past.
hehehehe.. Mahirap talaga e oust si Gloria.. kasali ako sa number 6 😀 hintayin nalang natin siyang bumaba 🙂
mga pinoy talaga skeptical. Dati gusto kay gloria, ngayon ayaw na. Lahat ata ng presidente ayaw natin. Hehe 🙂
oo nga, gus2 kasi nila yung ala martir. Reklamador din kasi ang pinoy eh. kung C decastro ang ipapalit, katulad din ni Gloria yan.
I totally agree with the five reasons.
But I doubt the fourth. Why do they have to include US support in the equation? I don’t think there is US support or backing in the previous People Power(s).
I don’t think the Leaders or groups are credible enough to convince everyone to do the People Power.
Mrs Cory Aquino – What is the status of the issues about Hacienda Luisita? Were you able to resolve the issues confronting your farmers? Noynoy, what are you doing about it?
The DeVenicia’s? Manay Gina, Ex-Speaker DeVenicia? and his son? I don’t think they will ever speak about these issues if the Ex-Speaker was not removed or his son won the bid in the ZTE Deal.
Mr Angel Lagdameo could not even unify the church stand on the issue. They are not one in their own “communal action drive”.
Lumang tugtugin na to for all Leftist Groups. They will continue to go to the streets to stage rallies until their own ideologies are achieved. Maybe if the Randy David or Mrs Rosales becomes the President or anyone from AKBAYAN, Bayan Muna or Gabriela(wishful thinking.
Point 1, hits home! Let’s say… just let the lesser “evil” stay. Hahahaha… funny to think, but I guess, now is the best time to listen to these MILF. 😉
no one will live and foreve. we all will definitely vanish from this uncertain world, kaya, let them live the life they want and let them take the consequences they do not want… ako? kabhit ssbihin nang iba na wala akong pakiaalam, wala akong paki.. i have to live my life the way i want it to be… sige hanggat me hininga kayong lahat hala TAHOL-AW AW AW
thankz 4 the information…