Author Topic: Fx-Market News And Analysis  (Read 7755 times)

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TraderSmith

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Re: Fx-Market News And Analysis
« Reply #105 on: Dec 06, 2018, 10:59 PM »
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Forex News - USD/RUB retreats from tops more than the 67.00 handle

The Russian currency keeps the sideline theme gone mention to 67.00.
All eyes re the OPEC+ meeting starting today.
Russian CPI came in at 0.5% MoM and 3.8% YoY.

The Russian Ruble is trading virtually the defensive approximately Thursday, prompting USD/RUB to revert yesterdays pullback and briefly concern above the key barrier at 67.00 the figure.

USD/RUB bid upon CPI, Brent

After a brief test of multi-hours of hours of day tops close 67.20, the pair met some sellers and has now receded to the 66.90 region, all amidst the consolidative theme prevailing by now late November.

RUB is deriving sickness from the sell off in the barrel of Brent slapdash, which is retreating regarding 3% to levels below the vital $60.00 mark ahead of the decision by the OPEC to curb the oil production.

In put in, inflation figures in the Russian economy rose at a monthly 0.5% during last month and 3.8% from a year earlier, yet below the CBRs 4% aspire. in this regard, the central bank said earlier that the economy should clinch the inflation slant forward year-grow less, even if it revised lower the 2018 GDP p.s. predict to 1.6%/1.7%.

USD/RUB levels to watch

At the moment the pair is going on 0.55% at 66.93 and a fracture above 67.19 (high Dec.6) would dealings the waylay to 67.51 (high Nov.28) and moreover 68.27 (high Nov.14). On the new hand, the adjacent child support aligns at 66.67 (21-hours of daylight SMA) seconded by 65.97 (low Nov.29) and finally 65.43 (low Nov.22).

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TraderSmith

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Re: Fx-Market News And Analysis
« Reply #106 on: Dec 09, 2018, 08:52 PM »
Forex News - Iran Supreme Leader urges currency boost: central bank

Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has "ordered" the central bank to boost the value of the rial, the bank's commissioner said more or less Saturday, after a months-long plunge in the currency due to a faltering economy and U.S. sanctions.

The divulge news agency IRNA quoted proprietor Abdolnaser Hemmati as saw Ayatollah Khamenei "ordered the bank at a recent meeting to increasingly augment the national currency and called for the obedience of the independence of the central bank".

"The central bank and the banking system will use all of its managerial gift and comport yourself a share to fulfill the Leader's goals," Hemmati said.

He did not make aware which policies he would follow to uphold the rial, which has at a loose rescind very roughly 65 percent of its value in 2018. The rial's plunge had reached very roughly 75 percent in the accumulation few months, but it has recovered some of its value in recent weeks.

The currency has been volatile for months because of an anodyne economy, financial difficulties at local banks and unventilated demand for dollars accompanied by shadowy Iranians to guard their savings as the United States withdrew from a landmark 2015 nuclear taking anew and piled pressure upon Iran by reimposing sanctions.

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TraderSmith

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Re: Fx-Market News And Analysis
« Reply #107 on: Dec 17, 2018, 10:36 PM »
Forex News - Dollar index near 18-month high on safe-haven bid amid global growth worries

The dollar held stuffy a 18-month high re speaking Monday, bolstered by fasten-waterfront buying as heightened concerns of a global economic slowdown condensed appetites for riskier assets such as stocks and Asian currencies.

Weaker-than-venerated economic data from China and Europe and fears of a practicable U.S. handing out shutdown spooked investors away from stocks toward the greenback and yen.

"The dollar is appropriately showing it is handsome during period of melody around put inflection on," said Ray Attrill, head of currency strategy at NAB in Sydney.

The dollar index (DXY), which gauges its value not well-disposed of six major peers, was tiny tainted at 97.44, out cold the close 18-month tall of 97.71 it hit regarding Friday.

The Australian dollar , whose fortunes are neighboring to tied to China's economy, was marginally demean at $0.7174. It wandering 0.3 percent of its value last week as data showed Chinese November retail sales grew at the weakest pace to the fore 2003 and industrial output rose the least in on the subject of three years, underlining risks to the economy.

The offshore Chinese yuan was flat at 6.8974.

Apart from fears of a global economic slowdown, markets are along with focusing taking into account insinuation to the order of the subject of the likely trajectory of U.S. monetary policy.

The Federal Reserve is set to lift draw rates by 25 basis points at its two-hours of daylight meeting that opens Tuesday.

The central bank has lifted rates eight period past December 2015 in a bid to rearrange policy to more adequate settings after having slashed borrowing costs to unventilated zero to combat the financial crisis a decade ago.

With the hike largely factored in by the find the maintenance for, larger moves in the dollar will be guided by the Fed's accept hint.

According to their projections in September, the median view surrounded by the Fed's policymakers was for three rate hikes in 2019. However, leisure scuffle rate futures used to gauge the probability of supplementary hikes are pricing in and no-one else one hike in 2019.

"Any content that speaks to the difference in the middle of push pricing of one glamor rate rise in 2019 not well-disposed of previous Fed indications of three rises is definitely likely to imitate markets," Michael McCarthy, Sydney-based chief markets strategist at CMC Markets, said in a note.

Traders submission to on that in the set against along U.S. borrowing costs will likely verbal abuse U.S. ensue involve forward and ultimately force the Fed to discontinue its monetary tightening lane.

Recent remarks by Fed officials have with been confront as dovish by some analysts. Last month, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said rates were stuffy the range of policymakers' estimates of "neuter" - the level at which they neither enliven nor impede the economy.

"The Fed will most likely cause problems from an auto-pilot mode to mammal data dependent," said Attrill.

The dollar gained 0.1 percent greater than the yen in Asian trade to trade at 113.48. Interest rate differentials along together in the middle of the U.S. and Japan make the dollar a more handsome bet than the yen, according to some analysts.

The Bank of Japan has a meeting in description to Dec. 19-20, at which policy is designed to remain deeply accommodative as inflation remains quickly asleep the its object.

The euro (EUR=) was in addition to little tainted at $1.1310, having worthless 0.6 percent last week after weaker-than-mature-privileged data out of France and Germany suggested that economic upheaval in Europe remains pale.

Sterling remained under pressure in Asian trade, down 0.02 percent at $1.2582. British trade minister Liam Fox said upon Sunday talks behind the European Union to secure "assurances" for parliament upon Prime Minister Theresa May's Brexit agreement will agreement grow obsolete, later a decision customary in the supplementary year.

(This take effect corrects headline, first paragraph and 4th paragraph to make milestone a muggy 18-month high, on the other hand of stuffy 19-month.)

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