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Mga Stochastic Pa help naman po

marco0212 · 6 · 1564

marco0212

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on: Aug 26, 2014, 12:28 AM
My professor gave me this kind of Task:


Compare all property shares and predict what will happen in Sept. 15, 2014. (Use real world value on the newspaper (STAR) on Aug 24, 2014)
Provide graphical data and use a forecasting method to defend your pick.


The problem is 24 days pa bago mag sept 15. the only data i have is a stock price as of Aug 22, 2014.



What forecasting method should i use for this?

Thanks in advance for those who answer.


Prospera

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Reply #1 on: Aug 26, 2014, 08:07 AM
Nice try, marco. But no, I won't do your assignment for you.

You'll thank me later, I'm sure! :-)


bauer

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Reply #2 on: Aug 26, 2014, 10:55 AM
@prospera,

Maybe we can help him with some leads or clues to get him started?  I am sure today's college students lacks the 'foundation' to such requirements in universities.

Since the requirement is obviously short term in nature, only technical can be effectively use in this aspect.

Obtain the past 7 months data using the ALL PROPERTY INDEX of the PSE.

Use 'at least 3 technical indicators' to widen your conclusion base instead of 1 indicator only (as suggested in your post).



GoodSteward

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Reply #3 on: Aug 26, 2014, 12:19 PM
MACD indicator...
3 parts, Best tutorial for me, helped me a lot when I was just starting...

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OR8vwFv-5iU&feature=related
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Hz4tuWGQqfo&feature=related
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4ybk72R9_90

Btw, the replay button is there not for nothing, I lost count how many times I hit that button.
Its gonna be confusing in the beginning.

Happy learning!!
« Last Edit: Aug 26, 2014, 12:21 PM by GoodSteward »


lemreyes

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Reply #4 on: Aug 26, 2014, 01:48 PM
Somehow this teaching creates the wrong notion that we could predict the exact price at an exact date.  It doesn't behave this way in the real world.

Most accurate method would be to travel to the future and grab a newspaper for Sept 15, 2014. :D

You might try Elliott Wave Theory.



marco0212

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Reply #5 on: Aug 26, 2014, 05:24 PM
Guys. Thanks you for your generous reply.

For this kelangan ko pala ng 3 year period stock price history ng isang company to forecast its price this coming September 15, 2014.

Special thanks to  Mr./Mrs/Ms Prospera whatever his/her title. I made a thorough research and made my eye-bags the whole night.


LOL.


 


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