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Author Topic: My Personal Stock Analysis  (Read 386898 times)

Offline kimrnmd

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Re: My Personal Stock Analysis
« Reply #8850 on: Aug 17, 2012, 10:18 PM »
Hey Casanova, I am interested din but I am really having second thoughts. I am still studying... pero honestly Gurus, whatcha think about SMC preferred shares? :) 

Offline cracken55

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Re: My Personal Stock Analysis
« Reply #8851 on: Aug 19, 2012, 01:28 AM »
Any news regarding EDC?. Have read from other forum that there will be an incoming landslide sa EDC this September meaning price will significantly drop..

Offline decapolis

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Re: My Personal Stock Analysis
« Reply #8852 on: Aug 19, 2012, 04:17 AM »
Since 2010, everytime this stock crosses above 6 / sh it will not stay there and will fall again.

Offline pmtmember

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Re: My Personal Stock Analysis
« Reply #8853 on: Aug 19, 2012, 09:12 PM »
It was a breath of fresh air for AGI holders as the stock went up for two days straight but last Friday it seems that it has weaken and might go back down again as it shows a doji candlestick. This candlestick after a rally has bearish implications for the reason that the market opens on the same closing price of the previous day.Then prices start to rally. The rally cannot be sustained during the day and prices went down going back to the opening price and stays there until closing. See that the volume is also dwindling. Well for me there is also a good side of that. We can speculate that the volume is thin maybe because buyers where just trying to let the sellers do what they want and buyers just defend the price without showing aggressiveness because of the long weekend.

Whether which of these things you want to believe in, let the price action on Wednesday speak for itself. Caveat as always!


Which way to go AGI?

Post Merge: Aug 19, 2012, 09:19 PM
Since 2010, everytime this stock crosses above 6 / sh it will not stay there and will fall again.

EDC went pass the 23.6% fibonacci retracement level (the resistance) last Friday but was pulled back and settled on the resistance level. Technically this might go up more but as you have noticed 6 might be its major resistance.

PD: no EDC
« Last Edit: Aug 19, 2012, 09:19 PM by pmtmember »
Take risks: if you win, you will be happy; if you lose, you will be wise. Trader's Logbook

Offline pmtmember

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Re: My Personal Stock Analysis
« Reply #8854 on: Aug 21, 2012, 06:55 PM »
Will BHI reclaim its glory this time? There was a good price movement last Friday. From 0.1350 to 0.1470 some of the traders are on roller coaster ride. The biggest percentage of the total traded volume was found at 0.1470 even leaving some 2.4M volume of unserve bids. Although the candlestick last Friday looks like a Hammer but the tail is not quite right. Whether our positions will turn into gold or not, let us see the action tomorrow.

By the way COL is the top buyer and seller. The PANIKI? Caveat!

Glory BHI?

Post Merge: Aug 22, 2012, 04:54 PM
After we have seen the Shooting Star on SGI and the confirmation, we saw it rally and that might have been the chance for those who want to cut loss. Today, its volume continue to become thin. Maybe the jockey is not there anymore? General trend is still downwards but might have an intraday rally for people to get out.

Caveat as always


Sell on rally for SGI



« Last Edit: Aug 22, 2012, 04:54 PM by pmtmember »
Take risks: if you win, you will be happy; if you lose, you will be wise. Trader's Logbook

Offline pmtmember

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Re: My Personal Stock Analysis
« Reply #8855 on: Aug 23, 2012, 07:28 AM »
Recomposition of PSE Indices

http://www.pse.com.ph/resource/memos/2012/CN_2012-0045.pdf

Post Merge: Aug 23, 2012, 04:52 PM
The Hammer last August 22 didn't make the price to go up. Today we have another formation that may reverse the trend. The last two candlesticks formed a Harami.

Harami Pattern is characterized by a small green real body contained within a prior relatively long red real body. “Harami” is an old Japanese word for “pregnant”. The long red candlestick is “the mother” and the small candlestick is “the baby”. While the market is characterized by downtrend there is heavy selling reflected by a long, red real body however it is followed by a small white body in the next day. This may signal a trend reversal since the second day’s small real body shows that the bearish power is diminishing. The shadows (high/low) of the second candlestick are not necessarily contained within the first body, however it's preferable if they are.


Caveat!


BHIg comeback?
« Last Edit: Aug 23, 2012, 04:52 PM by pmtmember »
Take risks: if you win, you will be happy; if you lose, you will be wise. Trader's Logbook

Offline pmtmember

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Re: My Personal Stock Analysis
« Reply #8856 on: Aug 24, 2012, 07:43 PM »
The harami that we have seen yesterday did not confirm the reversal. This might go sideways for now. Today's action shows that 0.14 is a good support. It is on that price that we have the highest share of volume.

Caveat!

Sideways for BHI?

Post Merge: Aug 24, 2012, 07:51 PM
Looking good on TDY. The volume today exceeds the volume yesterday by 2M. Are we going to see 13 soon? If only it wasn't a profit taking day today and that another long weekend is approaching, we might have seen this going up more than what we saw today.

Steady Bully TeDY




Post Merge: Aug 25, 2012, 07:27 PM
Interesting candlesticks. For the past 4 trading days the price always went below 23.6% Fibonacci Retracement level but was able to bring the price above the level during closing. It seems that someone is trying to pull the price down while another group is pushing it up and for quite sometime the pushers prevail, but can they sustain? I am bearish on this stock for now.

MVP - GMA, sometimes on, sometimes off


« Last Edit: Aug 25, 2012, 07:27 PM by pmtmember »
Take risks: if you win, you will be happy; if you lose, you will be wise. Trader's Logbook

Offline pmtmember

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Re: My Personal Stock Analysis
« Reply #8857 on: Aug 26, 2012, 05:01 PM »
After few weeks of ignoring BEL lets see where this is moving since the time we saw the Bearish Engulfing Pattern last July 6. Definitely from that day on we are seeing a downtrend. Is it ripe to reverse now?

Looking at the 6 months frame and applying Fibonacci Retracement it looks like the price is heading down to 61.8% level. The last two candlesticks tell us that for the last two days the price action has gone below the 50% unlike the previous days when it was consolidating on 50% level. Is the hammer candlestick going to free us from paper loss or reversal will not be confirmed?

I would rather get my feet wet when the price will break and go beyond the 50% level with good volume. As of now volume is consistently thin.

Caveat!


BELLE or not?




Post Merge: Aug 27, 2012, 10:28 AM


Post Merge: Aug 27, 2012, 03:49 PM
After we had our observation two weeks ago Wait for a better signal for MJC it seems that we still do not have a strong signal for reversal. We saw a rally last August 14 which gives us 8.77% but it was flatten after we saw a 11% decline 2 days after. Generally we will still be seeing a downward trend for this stock. Unless there will be a big news.

Intraday rally maybe a good avenue for you to get out or you can wait for the reverse soon if you want to.

Caveat!


Wait for the MaJiC?
« Last Edit: Aug 27, 2012, 03:49 PM by pmtmember »
Take risks: if you win, you will be happy; if you lose, you will be wise. Trader's Logbook

Offline pinoyinvesting

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Re: My Personal Stock Analysis
« Reply #8858 on: Aug 28, 2012, 05:27 AM »
Any news regarding EDC?. Have read from other forum that there will be an incoming landslide sa EDC this September meaning price will significantly drop..
bacman plant delay.
better switch to other faster-moving stocks

Offline pmtmember

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Re: My Personal Stock Analysis
« Reply #8859 on: Aug 28, 2012, 05:03 PM »
Looks like a good break from resistance at 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level with a good volume. It looks like it breaks from the falling wedge too. Can it sustain? COL Financial put its TP of this stock at 14.19 a share with a buy recommendation

Caveat!


AGI pass to 38 and dunk!


Take risks: if you win, you will be happy; if you lose, you will be wise. Trader's Logbook

Offline Senyor

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Re: My Personal Stock Analysis
« Reply #8860 on: Aug 28, 2012, 07:10 PM »
maganda tong chart mo. maliwanag pa sa bolang crystal nasikatan ng ginto.

Buy AGI at 11.70
It is what it is. Respect the Relative Strength.    http://www.flickr.com/photos/ayos

Offline pmtmember

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Re: My Personal Stock Analysis
« Reply #8861 on: Aug 29, 2012, 04:45 PM »
AGI may continue to go up north as we don't see any indicator for this to reverse. It has just broken from the resistance yesterday and now is enjoying the vast space between the support and resistance. There might be some headwinds while it go up but uptrend is intact. It might test the major resistance at 23.6% Fibonacci Retracement level soon.

Caveat!

AGI, uptrend intact





Post Merge: Aug 30, 2012, 07:33 AM
Candlestick-wise there is an engulfing pattern. Engulfing pattern can be used on both uptrend and downtrend reversal but the prior trend is not clear. Based on a one year time frame Fibonacci Retracement level at 38.2% was visited during the intraday price movement although buyers were able to bring the price up from that level. Will 0.60 still be a strong support for VITA? Today will be anybody's ball game. I was actually speculating yesterday that after the great drop it will recover fully but nada.

Caveat!

VITA, take a pill
« Last Edit: Aug 30, 2012, 07:33 AM by pmtmember »
Take risks: if you win, you will be happy; if you lose, you will be wise. Trader's Logbook

Offline pmtmember

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Re: My Personal Stock Analysis
« Reply #8862 on: Aug 30, 2012, 05:36 PM »
I think we have a Pennant formation for TeDY bull. Pennant is short-term continuation pattern that mark a small consolidation before the previous move resumes. This pattern is usually preceded by a sharp advance with heavy volume, and mark a mid-point of the move. Volume should be heavy during the advance that forms the flagpole. If this will break the resistance, are we going to see TeDY bull to reach 20+? If not, maybe it will turn into TeDY bear.

With the pennant formation, will it still touch the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level? (TDY bear or TDY bull, part 2)

Caveat!


Pennant for TDY


Take risks: if you win, you will be happy; if you lose, you will be wise. Trader's Logbook

Offline drei03

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Re: My Personal Stock Analysis
« Reply #8863 on: Aug 31, 2012, 03:27 PM »
ano nangyari sa JFC? :O

Offline bajoyjoy

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Re: My Personal Stock Analysis
« Reply #8864 on: Aug 31, 2012, 04:14 PM »
Namalik-mata yata ako.. I was buying during run-off (3:22pm) and I swear puro reds most of those in my watchlist. After the closing, PSEi closed in green pa pala! whazzup with that?! :scratch:

 

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